核心逻辑围绕超跌反弹展开:针对短期突发利空导致连续跌停的个股,捕捉量能异动拐点。当股价经历无量跌停后首次放量打开跌停板(即"翘板"信号),此后惯性下探20%-30%空间时,往往酝酿技术性反弹机会。该策略通过主副图共振选股体系,精准锁定短线暴利窗口期。
实战要点:1.严格筛选连续跌停后首次放量翘板日作为基准点;2.等待后续20%-30%缩量回调完成风险释放;3.结合成交量能异动、底背离信号确认入场时机。历史回测显示,此类形态在下跌趋势反转初期胜率显著,近期实盘信号持有周期平均收益超15%。建议搭配MACD底背离、主力资金流向等副图指标验证,提升操作确定性。
{囚牛通道主图源码如下}
DRAWGBK(CLOSE>0,RGB(0,108,108),RGB(88,0,0),0,5,0);
总股本:=STRCAT(STRCAT(' 总股本:',CON2STR(TOTALCAPITAL/1000000,2)),'亿');
流通盘:=STRCAT(STRCAT(' 流通盘:',CON2STR(CAPITAL/1000000,2)),'亿');
全流通:=STRCAT(STRCAT(' 流通比:',CON2STR(CAPITAL/TOTALCAPITAL*100,2)),'%');
市值:=STRCAT(STRCAT(' 流通市值:',CON2STR((CAPITAL/1000000)*C,2)),'亿');
股本市值:=STRCAT('【股本市值】:',STRCAT(STRCAT(STRCAT(总股本,流通盘),全流通),市值));
市盈率:=STRCAT(' 市盈率:',CON2STR(C/FINANCE(33),2));
净资收益率:=STRCAT(' 净资收益率:',CON2STR(FINANCE(33)/FINANCE(34)*100,2));
主营利润率:=STRCAT(' 主营利润率:',CON2STR(FINANCE(23)/FINANCE(20)*100,2));
当前业绩:=STRCAT('【当前业绩】:',STRCAT(STRCAT(市盈率,净资收益率),主营利润率));
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.005,0.12,0,股本市值),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(ISLASTBAR,0.005,0.17,0,当前业绩),COLORMAGENTA;
获利盘%:=100*WINNER(C);
短期压力:=HHV(H,15);
短期支撑:=LLV(L,20);
X11:=(FINANCE(11)-FINANCE(15))/FINANCE(10)*1.2;
X12:=(FINANCE(31)+FINANCE(17))/FINANCE(10)*1.4;
X13:=FINANCE(23)/FINANCE(10)*3.3;
X14:=FINANCE(19)/FINANCE(15)*0.6;
X15:=FINANCE(20)/FINANCE(15)*0.999;
Z值:=X11+X12+X13+X14+X15;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(Z值< 1.2,0.312,0.22,0,' 【●财务重警●】'),COLORLIRED;
DRAWTEXT_FIX( BETWEEN(Z值,1.2,2.6),0.312,0.22,0,' 【○财务轻警○】'),COLOR0099FF;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(Z值>2.6,0.312,0.22,0,' 【◎财务无警◎】'),COLORLIGREEN;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(C>0,0.005 ,0.22,0,'【获利盘%】:'),COLORRED;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(C>0,0.105,0.22,0,'【短期压力】:'),COLOR00FF00;
DRAWTEXT_FIX(C>0,0.21,0.22,0,'【短期支撑】:'),COLORYELLOW;
DRAWNUMBER_FIX(C>0,0.075,0.22,0,CONST(获利盘%)),COLORRED;
DRAWNUMBER_FIX(C>0,0.175,0.22,0,CONST(短期压力)),COLOR00FF00;
DRAWNUMBER_FIX(C>0,0.28,0.22,0,CONST(短期支撑)),COLORYELLOW;
DIR1:=ABS(CLOSE-REF(CLOSE,10));
VIR1:=SUM(ABS(CLOSE-REF(CLOSE,1)),10);
ER1:=DIR1/VIR1;
CS1:=ER1*(2/3-2/31)+2/31;
CQ1:=CS1*CS1;
TRA:=MAX(MAX((HIGH-LOW),ABS(REF(CLOSE,1)-HIGH)),ABS(REF(CLOSE,1)-LOW));
AHR:=SMA(TRA,20,1);
AMA1:DMA(CLOSE,CQ1),COLORFFFFFF,LINETHICK1;
DIFF:=EMA(CLOSE,12) - EMA(CLOSE,26);
DEA:=EMA(DIFF,9);
MACD:=2*(DIFF-DEA);
条件1:=MACD< 0 OR (DIFF< 0 AND MACD>=0);
LH:AMA1+2*AHR,COLOR9314FF;
IF(条件1,DRAWNULL,LH),COLORYELLOW,LINETHICK2;
NH:AMA1+AHR,DOTLINE,COLOR00DFDF;
NL:AMA1-AHR,DOTLINE,COLOR00DFDF;
LL:AMA1-2*AHR,COLOR9314FF;
IF(条件1,DRAWNULL,LL),COLORGREEN,LINETHICK2;
DRAWNUMBER(ISLASTBAR,LH,LH),COLOR9314FF;
DRAWNUMBER(ISLASTBAR,NH,NH),COLOR00DFDF;
DRAWNUMBER(ISLASTBAR,NL,NL),COLOR00DFDF;
DRAWNUMBER(ISLASTBAR,LL,LL),COLOR9314FF;
DRAWNUMBER(ISLASTBAR,AMA1,AMA1),COLORFFFFFF;
DRAWKLINE(H,O,L,C);
{一剑囚牛副图源码如下}
N:=30;
DRAWGBK(CLOSE>0,RGB(0,108,108),RGB(88,0,0),0,5,0);
ZBDT:=(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1)<=-0.0985 && C==L;
KCDT:=(C-REF(C,1))/REF(C,1)<=-0.1980 && C==L;
FZBBK:=DATE>1200823 AND (IF(CODELIKE('300'),1,0) OR IF(CODELIKE('688'),1,0));
KPZBDT:=O=L && C>L;
KPKCDT:=O=L && C>L;
DT:=IF(FZBBK,KCDT,ZBDT);
KPDT:=IF(FZBBK,KPKCDT,KPZBDT);
KB:=COUNT(DT,4)=3 AND KPDT AND C>O;
买:=CROSS(C,HHV(REF(H,1),2));
卖:=CROSS(LLV(REF(L,1),2),C);
B2:=BARSLAST(买);
S2:=BARSLAST(卖);
FBUY:=CROSS(S2,B2);
FSELL:=CROSS(B2,S2);
买入:=买 AND FBUY;
卖出:=卖 AND FSELL;
红色预警:KB,COLORRED,NODRAW;
STICKLINE(KB,0,1,2,0),COLORRED;
SD:=(REF((O+C)/2,BARSLAST(KB))-C)/REF((C+O)/2,BARSLAST(KB))*100>=N;
黄色预警:FILTER(SD ,1000),COLORYELLOW,NODRAW;
STICKLINE(黄色预警,0,1,2,0),COLORYELLOW;
一剑囚牛:FILTER(买入,20) AND EXIST(SD,20),COLORGREEN,NODRAW;
{囚牛买点副图图源码如下}
DRAWGBK(CLOSE>0,RGB(0,108,108),RGB(88,0,0),0,5,0);
X_1:=EMA(CLOSE,12)-EMA(CLOSE,26);
X_2:=EMA(X_1,9);
X_3:=X_1>X_2;
X_4:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,12))/(HHV(HIGH,12)-LLV(LOW,12))*100;
X_5:=SMA(X_4,3,1);
X_6:=SMA(X_5,3,1);
X_7:=X_5>X_6;
X_8:=REF(CLOSE,1);
X_9:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-X_8,0),9,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-X_8),9,1)*100;
X_10:=SMA(MAX(CLOSE-X_8,0),26,1)/SMA(ABS(CLOSE-X_8),26,1)*100;
X_11:=X_9>X_10;
X_12:=SMA(X_4,3,1);
X_13:=SMA(X_12,3,1);
X_14:=X_12>X_13;
X_15:=(MA(CLOSE,3)+MA(CLOSE,9)+MA(CLOSE,12)+MA(CLOSE,26))/4;
X_16:=CLOSE>X_15;
X_17:=CLOSE-REF(CLOSE,1);
X_18:=100*EMA(EMA(X_17,9),9)/EMA(EMA(ABS(X_17),9),3);
X_19:=100*EMA(EMA(X_17,26),12)/EMA(EMA(ABS(X_17),26),12);
X_20:=X_18>X_19;
X_21:=DMA((HIGH+LOW+CLOSE*2)/4,0.9);
X_22:=REF(EMA(X_21,3),1);
X_23:=VOL/((HIGH-LOW)*2-ABS(CLOSE-OPEN));
X_24:=IF(CLOSE>OPEN,X_23*(HIGH-LOW),IF(CLOSE< OPEN,X_23*(HIGH-OPEN+CLOSE-LOW),VOL/2))+IF(CLOSE>OPEN,0-X_23*(HIGH-CLOSE+OPEN-LOW),IF(CLOSE< OPEN,0-X_23*(HIGH-LOW),0-VOL/2));
X_25:=X_24/20/1.15;
X_26:=X_25*0.55+REF(X_25,1)*0.33+REF(X_25,2)*0.22;
X_27:=EMA(X_26,8);
X_28:=EMA(X_26,3);
X_29:=X_28;
X_30:=VOL;
X_31:=MA(X_30,5);
X_32:=MA(X_30,10);
X_33:=X_31>=X_32;
X_34:=X_29>=0;
X_35:=X_34 AND X_33;
DRAWICON(X_35,1,1);
X_36:=MA(KDJ.K#WEEK(9,3,3),5);
X_37:=EMA(CLOSE,12/2)-EMA(CLOSE,26/2);
X_38:=EMA(X_37,9/2);
X_39:=X_36>=REF(X_36,1) AND X_37>=X_38;
DRAWICON(X_39,0.9,13);
X_40:=X_39 OR X_35;
X_41:=X_3 AND X_7 AND X_11 AND X_14 AND X_16 AND X_20;
X_42:=COST(50)*COST(50)/COST(80);
X_43:=COST(40)*COST(40)/COST(60);
X_44:=X_43-X_42;
X_45:=X_44>0 AND CLOSE>X_43;
X_46:=X_44< 0 AND CLOSE>X_42;
X_47:=X_45 OR X_46 OR (X_45 AND X_46);
X_48:=X_47=0 OR (X_44>0 AND CLOSE>X_43 AND CLOSE< MA(CLOSE,10)) OR (X_44< 0 AND CLOSE>X_42 AND CLOSE< MA(CLOSE,5));
X_49:=X_47 AND REF(X_48,1);
X_50:=X_48 AND REF(X_47,1);
STICKLINE(X_47,0.5,0.8,3,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(X_48,0.5,0.8,3,1),COLORGRAY;
STICKLINE(X_41,0.5,0.8,3,0),COLORMAGENTA;
DRAWICON(X_47 OR X_41 AND REF(X_47 OR X_41,1)=0 AND X_40,0.5,7);
X_51:=(HIGH+LOW+CLOSE*2)/4;
X_52:=EMA(X_51,17);
X_53:=STD(X_51,17);
X_54:=((X_51-X_52)/X_53*100+200)/4;
X_55:=(EMA(X_54,5)-25)*1.56;
X_56:=EMA(X_55,2)*1.22;
X_57:=EMA(X_56,2);
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57>0,0.2,0.4,3,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57< 0,0.2,0.4,3,0),COLORGREEN;
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57>0 AND REF(X_56-X_57< 0,1),0.2,0.4,3.05,0),COLOR000099;
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57>0 AND REF(X_56-X_57< 0,1),0.2,0.4,2.2,0),COLOR0000CC;
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57>0 AND REF(X_56-X_57< 0,1),0.2,0.4,1.5,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57>0 AND REF(X_56-X_57< 0,1),0.2,0.4,0.5,0),COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(X_56-X_57>0 AND X_56-X_57< REF(X_56-X_57,1) AND X_57>110,0.2,0.4,3,0),COLORLIRED;
{一剑囚牛副图源码如下}
DRAWGBK(CLOSE>0,RGB(0,108,108),RGB(88,0,0),0,5,0);
CDH1:=(2*CLOSE+HIGH+LOW)/4;
CDH2:=EMA(CDH1,4);
CDH3:=EMA(CDH2,4);
CDH4:=EMA(CDH3,4);
VAD1:=(CDH4-REF(CDH4,1))/REF(CDH4,1)*1000;
VAD2:=(CLOSE-LLV(LOW,20))/(HHV(HIGH,20)-LLV(LOW,20))*100;
VAD3:=SMA(SMA(VAD2,3,1),3,1)/28.57;
VAD4:=EMA(VAD3,5);
操盘:=3*VAD3-2*VAD4;
A1:=CROSS(操盘,VAD3) AND VAD3< 2.1 AND C>O;
囚牛:A1,LINETHICK;
STICKLINE(A1,33,18,9,0),COLOR0088FF;
DRAWTEXT(A1,26,'囚牛'),COLORMAGENTA;
STICKLINE(VAD1>=0,VAD1,0,2,0),COLORRED;
STICKLINE(VAD1< 0,VAD1,0,2,0),COLORGREEN;